What ideas do you have for helping clinicians manage decision probabilities and provide at least one example.

Clinicians manage decision probabilities

This week, we explored the knowledge component of the DIKW model.

What ideas do you have for helping clinicians manage decision probabilities? Provide at least one example.

Outcomes

Utilize critical inquiry and judgment to evaluate the design, development, implementation, and outcomes of data management strategies for nursing and healthcare data. (PO 5)

Weekly Objectives

Describe the database structure via concept, logical, and physical models

Summarize the outcomes of the project

Synthesize personal insight from the project

Explain the impact of normalization on the proposed database

Synthesize contributions of the data-information-knowledge-wisdom model and database principles and practices to the support of evidence-based practice. (PO5)

Weekly Objectives

Conceptualize the applicability of the knowledge component of the DIKW model to nursing practice

Propose a method or approach to facilitate clinical nurses’ application of areas within the DIKW knowledge

Analyze the expression of data concepts and nursing concepts in data representations found in healthcare. (PO5)

Weekly Objectives

Develop relational tables for the proposed database, in the standard format, showing all usual content.

Relate the evidence-based problem or situation driving the database solution

Explain changes or absence of changes in the three questions originally posed for the database project

Describe database testing methods used, results, and impact on proposed database

Pneumonia/Abnormal Chest X-Ray

Pneumonia = A

Abnormal chest x-ray = B

The probability of the combined occurrence of pneumonia [A] and an abnormal chest x-ray [B] is equal to the probability of pneumonia [A] multiplied by the joint probability of an abnormal chest x-ray occurring with the presence of pneumonia divided by the probability of an abnormal chest x-ray.

Pneumonia/Abnormal Chest X-Ray

Pr (A and B) =  Pr (A) x Pr (B and A) Pr (B)

PR(B)

(The top line is divided by probability of B)

Set the probability of pneumonia at .25 (25%).

Set the probability of an abnormal chest x-ray at .75 (75%).

Actual Probability

Pr A = .25; Pr B = .75

0.25 x (0.75 + 0.25)  = 0.25 x 1.0 = 0.25 = 25%

There is a 25% probability that a patient with pneumonia will also have an abnormal chest x-ray.

Based on this statistic, would you order a chest x-ray on every pneumonia patient?

What ideas do you have for helping clinicians manage decision probabilities and provide at least one example.
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